Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 10.430573 11.675115 13.020528 14.584930 16.356312 18.302502 20.606404
2025-04-27 8.801213 10.501479 12.470840 14.927884 17.921643 21.463888 25.991954
2025-05-04 7.468532 9.428828 11.842825 15.051395 19.230043 24.522586 31.789236
2025-05-11 6.245981 8.296093 10.964444 14.722194 19.926178 26.949260 37.264523
2025-05-18 5.304072 7.380345 10.224006 14.449628 20.648576 29.532497 43.451155
2025-05-25 4.562071 6.625181 9.586951 14.213972 21.379450 32.250816 50.371077
2025-06-01 3.987249 6.024494 9.080066 14.083230 22.238540 35.303401 58.419639
2025-06-08 3.529758 5.533499 8.664264 14.022257 23.190798 38.663101 67.664101
2025-06-15 3.241827 5.266094 8.556702 14.436484 24.990139 43.741934 80.977992
2025-06-22 2.899732 4.862895 8.169870 14.314293 25.833975 47.295090 92.254851
2025-06-29 2.571337 4.439270 7.690015 13.951106 26.172956 49.971147 102.403870
2025-07-06 2.318259 4.114722 7.340007 13.770721 26.823749 53.359000 114.790341
2025-07-13 2.159209 3.945688 7.260223 14.116106 28.625129 59.518785 134.988542
2025-07-20 2.024773 3.805538 7.216345 14.528427 30.649321 66.582201 159.191445
2025-07-27 1.879161 3.625451 7.071071 14.710124 32.215485 72.969319 183.540302
2025-08-03 1.705071 3.367460 6.736132 14.434367 32.704824 76.963531 202.859366
2025-08-10 1.555820 3.142286 6.440399 14.200940 33.256227 81.240071 224.229314
2025-08-17 1.426101 2.942691 6.173880 13.994267 33.839741 85.737465 247.618835
2025-08-24 1.318266 2.777462 5.961648 13.883962 34.650829 91.027810 275.080889
2025-08-31 1.226367 2.636615 5.786447 13.837532 35.624919 96.998073 306.657944
2025-09-07 1.174443 2.579458 5.795864 14.256330 37.944341 107.374696 356.505933
2025-09-14 1.093615 2.446610 5.610672 14.143605 38.755710 113.456447 393.419973
2025-09-21 1.006695 2.290026 5.349759 13.790814 38.809126 117.217781 423.154229